Adagio Medical Holdings Stock Performance
| ADGM Stock | 0.99 0.01 1.00% |
On a scale of 0 to 100, Adagio Medical holds a performance score of 7. The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of -0.84, which signifies possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning Adagio Medical are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, Adagio Medical is likely to outperform the market. Please check Adagio Medical's value at risk, daily balance of power, and the relationship between the total risk alpha and expected short fall , to make a quick decision on whether Adagio Medical's price patterns will revert.
Risk-Adjusted Performance
Fair
Weak | Strong |
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Adagio Medical Holdings are ranked lower than 7 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. In spite of very uncertain technical and fundamental indicators, Adagio Medical displayed solid returns over the last few months and may actually be approaching a breakup point. ...more
1 | Acquisition by Todd Usen of 207315 shares of Adagio Medical at 1.09 subject to Rule 16b-3 | 12/12/2025 |
2 | Adagio Medical Holds 2025 Annual Stockholders Meeting - The Globe and Mail | 12/17/2025 |
3 | USD 9 Trillion in Assets Commit to ADGM as Abu Dhabi Finance Week Redefines Global Capital Flows | 12/18/2025 |
4 | 12 Health Care Stocks Moving In Tuesdays After-Market Session | 12/23/2025 |
5 | Positive Signs As Multiple Insiders Buy Adagio Medical Holdings Stock | 01/20/2026 |
6 | Small Cap Growth Virtual Investor Conference Agenda Announced for February 5th | 02/02/2026 |
| Begin Period Cash Flow | 20.2 K | |
| Total Cashflows From Investing Activities | -1.6 M | |
| Free Cash Flow | -31.1 M |
Adagio Medical Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape
If you would invest 77.00 in Adagio Medical Holdings on November 15, 2025 and sell it today you would earn a total of 23.00 from holding Adagio Medical Holdings or generate 29.87% return on investment over 90 days. Adagio Medical Holdings is currently generating 0.7473% in daily expected returns and assumes 8.3833% risk (volatility on return distribution) over the 90 days horizon. In different words, 75% of stocks are less volatile than Adagio, and 85% of all traded equity instruments are projected to make higher returns than the company over the 90 days investment horizon. Expected Return |
| Risk |
Adagio Medical Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price
The tendency of Adagio Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move above the current price in 90 days |
| 0.99 | 90 days | 0.99 | about 29.89 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Adagio Medical to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 29.89 (This Adagio Medical Holdings probability density function shows the probability of Adagio Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Adagio Medical Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Adagio Medical
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Adagio Medical Holdings. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Adagio Medical Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Adagio Medical is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Adagio Medical's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Adagio Medical Holdings, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Adagio Medical within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.49 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.84 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.09 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.04 |
Adagio Medical Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Adagio Medical for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Adagio Medical Holdings can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Adagio Medical is way too risky over 90 days horizon | |
| Adagio Medical has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| Adagio Medical appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| Adagio Medical has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| The company reported the previous year's revenue of 269 K. Net Loss for the year was (75.04 M) with loss before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of (2.01 M). | |
| Adagio Medical generates negative cash flow from operations | |
| Adagio Medical has a frail financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| About 69.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies | |
| Latest headline from globenewswire.com: Small Cap Growth Virtual Investor Conference Agenda Announced for February 5th |
Adagio Medical Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Adagio Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Adagio Medical's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Adagio Medical's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 15.2 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 20.6 M |
Adagio Medical Fundamentals Growth
Adagio Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Adagio Medical, and Adagio Medical fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Adagio Stock performance.
| Return On Equity | -2.1 | ||||
| Return On Asset | -0.24 | ||||
| Operating Margin | (195.44) % | ||||
| Current Valuation | 38.69 M | ||||
| Shares Outstanding | 21.18 M | ||||
| Price To Book | 3.57 X | ||||
| Price To Sales | 156.14 X | ||||
| Revenue | 269 K | ||||
| Gross Profit | (2.01 M) | ||||
| EBITDA | (62.48 M) | ||||
| Net Income | (75.04 M) | ||||
| Total Debt | 16.27 M | ||||
| Book Value Per Share | (0.09) X | ||||
| Cash Flow From Operations | (29.46 M) | ||||
| Earnings Per Share | (2.30) X | ||||
| Market Capitalization | 21.39 M | ||||
| Total Asset | 48.45 M | ||||
| Retained Earnings | (70.59 M) | ||||
| Working Capital | 17.59 M | ||||
About Adagio Medical Performance
By examining Adagio Medical's fundamental ratios, stakeholders can obtain critical insights into Adagio Medical's financial health, operational efficiency, and overall profitability. These insights assist in making well-informed investment and management decisions. For example, a high Return on Assets and Return on Equity would indicate that Adagio Medical is effectively utilizing its assets and equity to generate significant profits, enhancing its appeal to investors. On the other hand, low ROA and ROE values could reveal issues in asset and equity management, highlighting the need for operational improvements.
| Last Reported | Projected for Next Year | ||
| Days Of Inventory On Hand | 435.17 | 334.06 | |
| Return On Tangible Assets | (2.25) | (2.36) | |
| Return On Capital Employed | (1.77) | (1.68) | |
| Return On Assets | (1.28) | (1.34) | |
| Return On Equity | (3.11) | (2.95) |
Things to note about Adagio Medical Holdings performance evaluation
Checking the ongoing alerts about Adagio Medical for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for Adagio Medical Holdings help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Adagio Medical is way too risky over 90 days horizon | |
| Adagio Medical has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| Adagio Medical appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| Adagio Medical has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| The company reported the previous year's revenue of 269 K. Net Loss for the year was (75.04 M) with loss before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of (2.01 M). | |
| Adagio Medical generates negative cash flow from operations | |
| Adagio Medical has a frail financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| About 69.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies | |
| Latest headline from globenewswire.com: Small Cap Growth Virtual Investor Conference Agenda Announced for February 5th |
- Analyzing Adagio Medical's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
- Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Adagio Medical's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
- Examining Adagio Medical's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
- Evaluating Adagio Medical's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Adagio Medical's management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
- Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Adagio Medical's stock. These opinions can provide insight into Adagio Medical's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
Check out Trending Equities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in Adagio Medical Holdings. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in census. You can also try the Odds Of Bankruptcy module to get analysis of equity chance of financial distress in the next 2 years.
Will Pharmaceuticals sector continue expanding? Could Adagio diversify its offerings? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Adagio Medical. If investors know Adagio will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. Accurate valuation requires analyzing both current fundamentals and future growth trajectories. Every Adagio Medical data point contributes insight, yet successful analysis hinges on identifying the most consequential variables.
Earnings Share (2.30) | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.756 | Return On Assets | Return On Equity |
Investors evaluate Adagio Medical Holdings using market value (trading price) and book value (balance sheet equity), each telling a different story. Calculating Adagio Medical's intrinsic value - the estimated true worth - helps identify when the stock trades at a discount or premium to fair value. Seasoned market participants apply comprehensive analytical frameworks to derive fundamental worth and identify mispriced opportunities. External factors like market trends, sector rotation, and investor psychology can cause Adagio Medical's market price to deviate significantly from intrinsic value.
Understanding that Adagio Medical's value differs from its trading price is crucial, as each reflects different aspects of the company. Evaluating whether Adagio Medical represents a sound investment requires analyzing earnings trends, revenue growth, technical signals, industry dynamics, and expert forecasts. Conversely, Adagio Medical's market price signifies the transaction level at which participants voluntarily complete trades.